Disruption of trade routes through the South China Sea could precipitate a global political and economic crisis. Its shipping lanes are crucial to the movement of American cargo ships to all Asia. An estimated one-third of global shipping passes through the area, more than transit through the Suez and the Panama canals combined. Washington views freedom of maritime movement in the area as a strategic and military interest of the highest order. China rejected the court’s findings and treats the disputed area as its own. In 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague combat ruled that China’s territorial claims in the South China Sea violated the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea. Taiwan, whose relations with China have been tense since that war, also claims sovereignty over parts of the area, as do several other states including Japan, Malaysia, Japan and the Philippines, all of which describe China’s activity as aggressive and dangerous. China claims sovereignty over the entire area, an enormous expanse of sea which has been a critically important passage for commercial shipping since World War II – and in which it has built artificial islands. The South China Sea has been at the center of struggle for years. His remarks illustrated the extent of Iran’s interest in creating a unified anti-American bloc. withdrawal from Afghanistan, Iran’s new president Ebrahim Raisi reportedly claimed that the move created a new international agenda and opportunity for Iranian cooperation with China and with Russia.
Orion noted that a year earlier Iran had leaked a draft of the agreement, showing it includes accords on promoting cooperation on military, technological, and intelligence fronts. (res.) Assaf Orion, director of the INSS research program on Israel-China, remarked cautiously that “he developing China-Iran relations harbor negative trends for Israel’s national security.” (Proper disclosure: I am a member of the Institute’s ‘China Forum’ ). On nuclear Iran, Israel faces two terrible optionsįew details about the deal have been published, but in a document published by Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies after the event, Brig. The novel is a cautionary tale for our times, and a reminder how quickly events can spin out of control – even before 2034.”īy coincidence, in late March, a few weeks after the book’s release, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi flew to Tehran and signed a 25-year strategic cooperation agreement with his Iranian counterpart, Mohammad Javad Zarif. Drawing on the deep operational and diplomatic backgrounds, Admiral Stavrides and Elliot Ackerman have conjured a nightmare we desperately need to avoid.
2034 is a novel about conflict we hope never happens. Bush and Barack Obama and former director of the CEO, put it in his blurb for the book: “It’s a real page turner. They genuinely fear that the United States and China, two superpowers with strategic and tactical nuclear weapons, are on course for confrontation, explains Stavridis, who retired from the Navy after 37 years and then served as the dean of the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University by Boston.Īs Robert Gates, the secretary of defense under presidents George W. They wrote “2034” to entertain, and to provoke debate. The book came out in English this spring and made the bestsellers list in the United States. Ackerman served multiple tours of duty with elite covert CIA units in the Middle East and southwest Asia, including in Iraq and Afghanistan. Marine Corps as an infantry and special operation officer, including a brief stint with the Ground Branch of the CIA’s Special Activities Division. A journalist and author, he served eight years in the U.S. The second, Elliot Ackerman, is 25 years his junior. commander in Europe, positions he held until his retirement in 2013. In 2009 he was named supreme commander of NATO and the top U.S. One is James Stavridis, 66, a retired Navy admiral who served in a variety of command positions. Its coauthors are seasoned veterans of the U.S. This is a highly appropriate time to read “2034: A Novel of the Next World War,” a thriller published in March that describes a chain of events leading to a third world war. Chinese soldiers aboard a ship participating in a ceremony in 2019.
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